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Graphical Forecasts from Morehead City/Newport NWS

Area Forecast Discussion from MHX (Morehead City/Newport National Weather Service)

000
FXUS62 KMHX 050649
AFDMHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
249 AM EDT SUN SEP 5 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK. A WEAK
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
THURSDAY.

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
AS OF 250 AM SUNDAY...SOME PATCHY CIRRUS SEEN IN IR SATELLITE
IMAGERY EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT ALL IN ALL SHOULD BE A BEAUTIFUL
LATE SUMMER DAY ACROSS THE REGION. MAX TEMPS WILL BE IN THE LOWER
TO MIDDLE 80S...WITH DEWPOINTS AREA-WIDE IN THE 50S AND 60S MAKING
FOR COMFORTABLE WEATHER.

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 250 AM SUNDAY...ANOTHER PLEASANTLY COOL NIGHT IN STORE
TONIGHT WITH MINS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MIDDLE 60S IN MOST AREAS
EXCEPT ON THE OUTER BANKS WHERE TEMPS WILL REMAIN AROUND 70. UNDER
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...TEMPS WILL MODERATE THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH
MAXES MONDAY AND TUESDAY INTO THE UPPER 80S WITH MANY INLAND SPOTS
REACHING 90 OR BETTER BY WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 250 AM SUNDAY...GFS AND HPC GUIDANCE INDICATE A WEAK FRONT
MOVING INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. MOISTURE
STILL LOOKS TO BE VERY LIMITED AND WILL NOT INCLUDE POPS AT THIS
TIME. ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE NUMBERS INDICATE BOTH MAX AND MIN TEMPS
WILL BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THRU THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

.AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR CONTINUES IN VERY DRY AIRMASS...AND SHOULD DOMINATE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AS HIGH PRES BUILDS IN JUST NORTH OF THE AREA. HAVE SEEN
PGV AND EWN BOUNCE TO IFR WITH PATCHY FOG JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT AND
BELIEVE THIS IS THIN FOG DEVELOPING ALONG THE TAR RIVER AND BRICES
CREEK RESPECTIVELY AND DRIFTING OVER THE SENSORS. IT IS LIKELY
THIS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PRE-DAWN HOURS BUT SHOULD HAVE
MINIMAL OPERATIONAL IMPACTS AT THE TERMINALS.

DEEP LAYERED HIGH PRES TO INFLUENCE THE AREA THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK ALLOWING VFR TO PERSIST. HOWEVER...EXPECT THE POTENTIAL FOR
EARLY MORNING FOG TO INCREASE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE SFC HIGH
MOVES SLOWLY OFFSHORE ALLOWING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO GRADUALLY
INCREASE.

.MARINE...
LINGERING SE SWELL COMBINED WITH SHORTER PERIOD SSW WAVE SYSTEM
STILL ALLOWING SEAS TO HOVER JUST BELOW 6FT FOR CENTRAL WATERS AND
EXPECT THE SLOW DOWNWARD TREND TO CONTINUE TODAY. WAVEWATCH AND
SWAN BOTH ABOUT A FOOT UNDERDONE WITH SEAS EARLY THIS MORNING AND
WENT A FOOT ABOVE GUIDANCE TODAY...OTHERWISE FOLLOWED SWAN CLOSELY
THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. SWELL FROM FORMER TS
FIONA EXPECTED TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE ANOTHER 1-2FT THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEKEND. THIS SHOULD LEAVE COMBINED SEAS MAINLY IN THE 2-4FT
FOR SUN INTO MON.

HIGH PRES WILL MEANWHILE CONTINUE TO BUILD IN FROM THE NW TODAY
ALLOWING WINDS TO TREND MORE N/NE AOB 15KT INTO THIS MORNING.
SIMILAR LIGHT TO OCC. MODERATE NE TO E WINDS EXPECTED INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. THOSE WINDS GRADUALLY VEER MORE SLY THROUGH MIDWEEK AS
HIGH PRES MOVES OFFSHORE AHEAD OF A WEAK FRONT. SEAS WILL BE AOB
4FT EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK.

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

SYNOPSIS...CTC
NEAR TERM...CTC
SHORT TERM...CTC
LONG TERM...CTC
AVIATION...SK
MARINE...SK

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